This report provides an in-depth review of Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) stock performance for the week ending June 27, 2025, along with an outlook for the upcoming week. It integrates stock price movements, key news events, and analyst insights to offer a comprehensive perspective on recent developments and potential trends.
Weekly Stock Performance
Tesla's stock experienced considerable volatility this week, closing notably lower due to diminished positive sentiment and negative developments. Below is a summary of daily closing prices and percentage changes:
| Date | Closing Price (USD) | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2025 | $349.23 | - |
| June 24, 2025 | $338.70 | -3.01% |
| June 25, 2025 | $326.35 | -3.65% |
| June 26, 2025 | $325.27 | -0.33% |
| June 27, 2025 | $322.99 | -0.70% |
Overall Weekly Performance:
- Starting Price: $349.23 (June 23)
- Ending Price: $322.99 (June 27)
- Weekly Change: -7.51%
The week opened positively, driven by the launch of Tesla's limited robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, on June 22. Despite initial excitement and intraday highs reaching $354.58, the gains proved unsustainable, and the stock declined consistently for the remainder of the week. Wednesday, June 25, witnessed the steepest decline of 3.65%.
Key News Events Impacting Performance
Several key events significantly influenced Tesla’s stock performance:
Robotaxi Service Launch (June 22)
The initial enthusiasm following the robotaxi launch drove an 8.2% rise on June 23. However, concerns about scalability and technology led to a reversal, erasing gains by midweek.
Departure of Key Executive (June 26)
Tesla dismissed Omead Afshar, Vice President of Manufacturing and Operations, citing declining car sales in key markets. This move underscored potential operational struggles and impacted investor sentiment negatively.
Removal from Charlotte’s Approved EV List (June 23–24)
The Charlotte City Council voted to remove Tesla from its list of approved electric vehicle vendors, citing concerns about safety and corporate stability. However, the move appears to be more political than practical, given that the city was only planning to purchase 45 EVs. It's clear the decision was symbolic or propagandistic, possibly influenced by opposition to Elon Musk’s political affiliations. While the removal garnered media attention, its actual impact on Tesla’s business is negligible.
Broader Market and Brand Challenges
Tesla continues to navigate brand headwinds, driven in part by CEO Elon Musk’s political associations, declining sales in key markets such as Europe and the U.S., and intensifying competition from rivals like BYD. These factors have contributed to short-term investor uncertainty and stock volatility.
However, it’s important to put these developments into perspective. Elon Musk’s actions both as an entrepreneur and public figure are often polarizing, but they are rooted in a bold vision for the future of humanity. Whether it's accelerating the transition to sustainable energy, pioneering autonomous transportation, or advancing space exploration, no individual has done more in the modern era to push forward technologies that benefit both our planet and civilization as a whole.
Even when facing political backlash or financial setbacks, Musk remains committed to long-term, transformative goals. At Dark Stone Capital, we believe this kind of leadership, unafraid to challenge the status quo, is exactly what positions Tesla to become not only one of the most valuable companies in the world, but one of the most consequential. For long-term investors, short-term noise should not distract from the unprecedented scale of Tesla’s innovation and the global impact of its mission.
Technical Analysis Insights
Technically, Tesla exhibited a clear bearish trend. Its stock price fell below the 50-day moving average, confirming short-term bearish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates approaching oversold territory, consistent with the recent decline and the current "Fear" sentiment (Fear & Greed Index at 39).
Key technical levels include:
- Support: $300
- Resistance: $340–$350
The high volatility (4.85% over the last 30 days) suggests potential sharp movements in response to upcoming announcements, particularly the Q2 delivery report.
Outlook for Next Week
Tesla’s stock performance next week (June 30–July 4, 2025) will largely hinge on Q2 2025 delivery figures, expected early in the week. Analyst consensus predicts around 415,000 deliveries, though some forecasts, notably Guggenheim’s, project as low as 360,000 due to demand and production challenges. Given the recent delivery miss in Q1, there is considerable risk of a similar outcome.
Bullish Factors:
- Robotaxi Optimism: Continued positive developments or expansions could boost stock sentiment.
- Potential Delivery Surprise: Exceeding delivery expectations could ignite a short-term rally toward the $340–$350 resistance zone.
Bearish Factors:
- Delivery Concerns: Risks of disappointing delivery numbers remain high, particularly with declining demand and brand challenges.
- Negative Sentiment: Ongoing repercussions from recent negative news and potential further unfavorable developments.
- Insider Selling: Recent insider transactions suggest cautious sentiment among company executives.
Analyst Predictions:
- CoinCodex: Neutral sentiment with potential volatility (2025 year-end range: $304.98–$584.59).
- Long Forecast: June closing estimate around $324, with potential growth to $370 by August.
- GLJ Research: Extremely bearish, predicting a possible significant drop.
- 24/7 Wall St.: Moderate optimism, projecting a year-end target of approximately $353.
Next Week’s Prediction: Considering the current bearish momentum and persistent concerns about deliveries and market conditions, Tesla may test the $300 support level next week. Conversely, a positive delivery surprise or encouraging robotaxi developments could facilitate a rebound toward $340.
Investor Perspective
Tesla’s stock endured a challenging week, reflecting a significant decline driven by fading optimism from the robotaxi launch, negative news surrounding executive changes, and broader brand concerns. The Q2 delivery report emerges as the pivotal factor determining short-term direction. While the long-term narrative remains optimistic due to Tesla’s innovative capabilities, short-term investors should remain vigilant and leverage technical analysis to navigate potential volatility.
