Dark Stone Capital | February 2026
There's a popular narrative circulating right now that NVIDIA's dominance is about to crack. Google has its TPUs. Amazon has Trainium. Meta is reportedly shopping for alternatives. Custom silicon is the future, the bears say, and NVIDIA's 75% gross margins are living on borrowed time.
They're wrong — or at least, they're early by several years. And in markets, early is the same as wrong.
Here's the case for why NVIDIA's competitive position is more durable than the consensus appreciates, why the margin structure is defensible through 2027, and why the data center buildout cycle is